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On Tuesday 29th November the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) published its updated forecast for the UK economy. Chancellor George Osborne responded to that forecast in a statement to the House of Commons later on that day.
In the period since the Budget in March a number of consultation papers and discussion documents have been published by HMRC. Draft legislation relating to many of these areas will be published on 6 December 2011. Some of these proposals are summarised here. We will provide an update for you if significant changes are announced on 6 December.
This summary also provides a reminder of other key developments which are to take place from April 2012.
The Chancellor's statement
The Chancellor emphasised that the OBR does not predict a recession in Britain but they have revised down their short term growth prospects for the country. He also made clear that the OBR central forecast assumes 'the euro finds a way through the current crisis'.
General measures
The Autumn Statement sets out the actions the Government will take in two main areas:
- protecting the economy and
- building a stronger economy for the future.
In order to maintain economic stability and meet its fiscal rules, the Government will, for example:
- set plans for public spending in 2015/16 and 2016/17 in line with the spending reductions over the Spending Review 2010 period
- raise the State Pension age to 67 between April 2026 and April 2028
- set public sector pay awards at an average of 1% for each of the two years after the current pay freeze comes to an end.
The growth plans include the publication of a National Infrastructure Plan 2011. The plan sets out a pipeline of over 500 infrastructure projects including:
- introducing a new approach to financing infrastructure, by obtaining £20 billion of private investment from pension funds
- investing over £1 billion to tackle areas of congestion and improve the national road network
- investing more than £1.4 billion in railway infrastructure and commuter links
- investing £100 million to create up to ten 'super-connected cities' across the UK, with 80-100 megabits per second broadband and city-wide high-speed mobile coverage.
Comment
The proposal to raise the state pension age is expected to save around £60 billion in today's prices between 2026/27 and 2035/36.
The aim of the National Infrastructure Plan is to kick start the economy by accelerating infrastructure projects with a view to job retention/creation. Time will tell how successful the new strategy is.
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